{"id":28201,"date":"2010-09-29T12:36:52","date_gmt":"2010-09-29T20:36:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.discovermagazine.com\/gnxp\/?p=6826"},"modified":"2010-10-04T15:50:21","modified_gmt":"2010-10-04T23:50:21","slug":"every-variant-with-an-author","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.razib.com\/wordpress\/2010\/09\/29\/every-variant-with-an-author\/","title":{"rendered":"Every variant with an author!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I recall projections in the early 2000s that 25% of the American population would be employed as systems administrators circa 2020 if rates of employment growth at that time were extrapolated. Obviously the projections weren&#8217;t taken too seriously, and the pieces were generally making fun of the idea that IT would reduce labor inputs and increase productivity. I thought back to those earlier articles when I saw a new letter in <em>Nature<\/em> in my RSS feed this morning, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/vaop\/ncurrent\/full\/nature09410.html\">Hundreds of variants clustered in genomic loci and biological pathways affect human height<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Most common human traits and diseases have a polygenic pattern of  inheritance: DNA sequence variants at many genetic loci influence the  phenotype. Genome-wide association (GWA) studies have identified more  than 600 variants associated with human traits<sup><a id=\"ref-link-1\" title=\"Hindorff, L. A. et al. Potential etiologic and functional implications of genome-wide association loci for human diseases and traits. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 106, 9362-9367 (2009)\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/vaop\/ncurrent\/full\/nature09410.html#ref1\">1<\/a><\/sup>,  but these typically explain small fractions of phenotypic variation,  raising questions about the use of further studies. Here, <strong>using 183,727  individuals<\/strong>, we show that hundreds of genetic variants, <strong>in at least 180  loci<\/strong>, influence adult height, a highly heritable and classic polygenic  trait<sup><a id=\"ref-link-2\" title=\"Galton, F. Regression towards mediocrity in hereditary stature. J. R. Anthropol. Inst. 5, 329-348 (1885)\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/vaop\/ncurrent\/full\/nature09410.html#ref2\">2<\/a>, <a id=\"ref-link-3\" title=\"Fisher, R. A. The correlation between relatives on the supposition of Mendelian inheritance. Trans. R. Soc. Edinb. 52, 399-433 (1918)\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/vaop\/ncurrent\/full\/nature09410.html#ref3\">3<\/a><\/sup>.  The large number of loci reveals patterns with important implications  for genetic studies of common human diseases and traits. First, the 180  loci are not random,<strong> but instead are enriched for genes that are  connected in biological pathways<\/strong> (<em>P<\/em> = 0.016) and that underlie skeletal growth defects (<em>P<\/em><span><span> <\/span><\/span>&lt;<span><span> <\/span><\/span>0.001).  Second, the likely causal gene is often located near the most strongly  associated variant: in 13 of 21 loci containing a known skeletal growth  gene, that gene was closest to the associated variant. Third, at least  <strong>19 loci have multiple independently associated variants, suggesting that  allelic heterogeneity is a frequent feature of polygenic traits<\/strong>, that  comprehensive explorations of already-discovered loci should discover  additional variants and that an appreciable fraction of associated loci  may have been identified. Fourth, <strong>associated variants are enriched for  likely functional effects on genes<\/strong>, being over-represented among  variants that alter amino-acid structure of proteins and expression  levels of nearby genes. Our data explain approximately 10% of the  phenotypic variation in height, and we estimate that unidentified common  variants of similar effect sizes would increase this figure to  approximately 16% of phenotypic variation (approximately 20% of  heritable variation). <strong>Although additional approaches are needed to  dissect the genetic architecture of polygenic human traits fully<\/strong>, our  findings indicate that GWA studies can identify large numbers of loci  that implicate biologically relevant genes and pathways.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/vaop\/ncurrent\/extref\/nature09410-s1.pdf\">supplements run to nearly 100 pages<\/a>, and the author list is enormous. But at least the supplements are free to all, so you should check them out. There are a few sections of the paper proper that are worth passing on though if you can&#8217;t get beyond the paywall.<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"more-6826\"><\/span><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=' float: left; padding: 4px; margin: 0 7px 2px 0;'  class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-6829\" title=\"fig1b\" src=\"http:\/\/blogs.discovermagazine.com\/gnxp\/files\/2010\/09\/fig1b1.png\" alt=\"fig1b\" width=\"400\" height=\"337\" \/>In this study they pooled together several studies into a <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Meta-analysis\">meta-analysis<\/a>. One thing not mentioned in the abstract: they checked their GWAS SNPs against a family based study. This was important because in the latter population stratification isn&#8217;t an issue. Family members naturally overlap a great deal in their genetic background. Also, if I read it correctly they&#8217;re focusing on populations of European origin, so this might not capture larger effect alleles which impact between population variance in height but don&#8217;t vary within a given population (note that if you explored pigmentation genetics just through Europeans you would miss the most important variable on the world wide scale, <em>SLC24A5<\/em>, because it&#8217;s fixed in Europeans). In any case, as you can see what they did was extrapolate out the number of loci which their methods could capture to explain variation with the predictor being the sample size. At 500,000 individuals they&#8217;re at ~700 loci, and around 20% of the heritable variation. My initial thought is that I&#8217;m not seeing diminishing returns here, but since I haven&#8217;t read the supplements I&#8217;ll let that pass since I don&#8217;t know the guts of this anyhow. They do assert that they are likely underestimating the power of these methods because there may be be smaller effect common variants which can top off the fraction.<\/p>\n<p>But even they admit that they can go only so far. Here are some sections from the conclusion that lays it out pretty clearly:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>By increasing our sample size to more than 100,000 individuals, we  identified common variants that account for approximately 10% of  phenotypic variation. Although larger than predicted by some models<sup><a id=\"ref-link-31\" title=\"Goldstein, D. B. Common genetic variation and human traits. N. Engl. J. Med. 360, 1696-1698 (2009)\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/vaop\/ncurrent\/full\/nature09410.html#ref26\">26<\/a><\/sup>,  <strong>this figure suggests that GWA studies, as currently implemented, will  not explain most of the estimated 80% contribution of genetic factors to  variation in height<\/strong>. This conclusion supports the idea that biological  insights, rather than predictive power, will be the main outcome of this  initial wave of GWA studies, and that new approaches, which could  include sequencing studies or GWA studies targeting variants of lower  frequency, will be needed to account for more of the \u2018missing\u2019  heritability. Our finding that many loci exhibit allelic heterogeneity  suggests that many as yet unidentified causal variants, including common  variants, will map to the loci already identified in GWA studies, and  that the fraction of causal loci that have been identified could be  substantially greater than the fraction of causal variants that have  been identified.<\/p>\n<p>In our study, many associated variants are  tightly correlated with common nsSNPs, <strong>which would not be expected if  these associated common variants were proxies for collections of rare  causal variants, as has been proposed<\/strong><sup><a id=\"ref-link-32\" title=\"Dickson, S. P., Wang, K., Krantz, I., Hakonarson, H. &amp; Goldstein, D. B. Rare variants create synthetic genome-wide associations. PLoS Biol. 8, e1000294 (2010)\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/vaop\/ncurrent\/full\/nature09410.html#ref27\">27<\/a><\/sup>.  Although a substantial contribution to heritability by less common  and\/or quite rare variants may be more plausible, our data are not  inconsistent with the recent suggestion<sup><a id=\"ref-link-33\" title=\"Yang, J. et al. Common SNPs explain a large proportion of the heritability for human height. Nature Genet. 42, 565-569 (2010)\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/vaop\/ncurrent\/full\/nature09410.html#ref28\">28<\/a><\/sup> that many common variants of very small effect mostly explain the regulation of height.<\/p>\n<p>In  summary, our findings indicate that additional approaches, including  those aimed at less common variants, will likely be needed to dissect  more completely the genetic component of complex human traits. Our  results also strongly demonstrate that GWA studies can identify many  loci that together implicate biologically relevant pathways and  mechanisms. We envisage that thorough exploration of the genes at  associated loci through additional genetic, functional and computational  studies will lead to novel insights into human height and other  polygenic traits and diseases.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The second to last paragraph takes a shot at David Goldstein&#8217;s idea of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.plosbiology.org\/article\/info%3Adoi\/10.1371\/journal.pbio.1000294\">synthetic associations<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;re still where we were a a few years back though, old fashioned Galtonian quantitative genetics, a branch of statistics, is the best bet to predict the heights of your offspring. As with intelligence, &#8220;height genes&#8221;, are not improvements upon common sense. But if you&#8217;re going into the 10-20% range of  variation explained it&#8217;s certainly not trivial, and the biological details are going to be of interest.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I recall projections in the early 2000s that 25% of the American population would be employed as systems administrators circa 2020 if rates of employment growth at that time were extrapolated. Obviously the projections weren&#8217;t taken too seriously, and the pieces were generally making fun of the idea that IT would reduce labor inputs and [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,472,473,508,722,723,481,159],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28201","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-genetics","category-genome-wide-association","category-gwas","category-height","category-height-genetics","category-heritability","category-human-genetics","category-medical-genetics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.razib.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28201","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.razib.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.razib.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.razib.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.razib.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28201"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.razib.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28201\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28624,"href":"https:\/\/www.razib.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28201\/revisions\/28624"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.razib.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28201"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.razib.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28201"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.razib.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28201"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}